7 Responses

  1. Fernando
    Fernando March 31, 2013 at 9:57 pm |

    Fernando says interesting analytics – well done. Taking tennis to a new statistical place.

    To Fernando, this match was about belief- Ferru’s lack of it. Fang was wilting in the 3rd set, demonstrably, and Ferru could not seize the moment. Why? Typically when Ferru gets a whiff that his opponent is fatiguing, Ferru smells blood and amps up his game. He didn’t or couldn’t here.

    Fernando disagrees with respected Juan Jose on the match point challenge. Ferru stopped the point because of the pressure. A bail out brain freeze fueled by lack of belief.

    This was Ferru’s greatest opportunity for a true signature win. Ferru is great. But Fernando believes that it is not just physical limitations that prevent Ferru from being elite. There are mental limitations as well. Ferru does not have calm in the truly big moments against the elite.

    I am Fernando @vivafernando

    1. Ophelia
      Ophelia March 31, 2013 at 10:51 pm |

      The strange thing is that Ferrer actually played Murray relatively close last year, beating him on clay and taking him to multiple tiebreaker sets on hard and grass, and his losses seemed to stem more from Murray simply being the better player than a lack of belief. Maybe it’s a simple case of repeated losses wearing down even the most stubborn spirit.

      1. Ophelia
        Ophelia March 31, 2013 at 10:56 pm |

        Whoops – I meant the last two years in regards to Ferrer’s past fights against Murray (as he played Murray on hard courts in 2011 but not 2012).

  2. Ophelia
    Ophelia March 31, 2013 at 10:39 pm |

    Wow, Murray’s FH/BH efficiencies were a lot better than I thought. Though I’d like to have an idea of the average efficiencies of the typical elite player – the 93% stats are impressive but how would they compare to the stats of, say, Murray’s noticeably better performance in the semifinal? Just how large or small would the margins be between them?

    Do you also have some idea of Ferrer’s efficiencies? It was obvious that he played at a high level for the first 5 games and at a lower level for the rest of the match, but at that point I was averting my eyes a lot from the TV screen so I don’t know the specifics of how his game began going off the fritz. (I do know that he made more total unforced errors than Murray, which might say enough all by itself.)

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