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Welcome to a live edition of How the Match Was Won! Today we have Tomas Berdych and David Ferrer, the Czech with an opportunity to clinch the 2012 Davis Cup for his home country.
We pick the winners for the Davis Cup Day 3 singles rubbers: first, Tomas Berdych will look to clinch the title against David Ferrer. If he doesn’t succeed, Radek Stepanek will face Nicolás Almagro.
David Ferrer, World No. 5, and Radek Stepanek, World No. 37, are who we thought they were.
Today at the 02 Arena: bad scheduling has Federer and Del Potro squaring off first, even though the result of their match could render Ferrer-Tipsarevic meaningless. The first blemish on the otherwise impeccable scheduling throughout the week!
Here are the scenarios (as far as I can tell): If Del Potro beats Federer, he is in the semis, no matter what Ferrer does. However, if Del Potro wins in straight sets, he will win the group – if he wins in three, Federer wins the group. If Federer wins in two or three sets, he’ll win the group. If that were to happen, Ferrer has to beat Tipsarevic to advance. However, if by some strange miracle Tipsarevic wins….
I’ve always been an advocate for players who win the coin toss to choose to serve.
Particularly if you’re a good returner. It just seems so obvious that if things go according to plan and both players hold serve, being the returner at 5-4 is a useful advantage. Earlier in the set, whoever serves second can drop his/her serve and know there will be a few chances to get the break back. On the flip side, the person who serves first always has the peace of mind of knowing that if they get broken at any point in the set, they will have at least one return game to attempt to get their serve back.
I was very tempted to make this a “How the Match Was Lost”. I really was. After all, Michael Llodra dominated the first set. Actually, “dominated” might be an understatement. Just look at the stats:
The Valencia Final started two hours after the very eventful Basel final got underway, and at the same time as the very significant women’s final in Istanbul was starting. Basel and the WTA Championships had the big names, so Valencia received very little attention. Which is unfortunate, because it ended up being quite a fascinating final.
The point I want to make with the picture above is simple: Alexandr Dolgopolov could have very well spoiled the Ferrer-Ferrero-Valencia Bromance on Sunday and ended up with the trophy. He had clear opportunities to do so, and at 3-all in the 3rd set, he was looking like the better player. The upset seemed quite plausible.